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What are the Odds of Becoming a Rock Star?

2/3/2021

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As a musician, you may wonder how some people become rock stars whilst others with similar talents, skills and abilities have spent most of the musical careers searching out low-pay bar gig. The odds of becoming a rock star are likely to be on a par with winning the lottery, but there are some ways that you can increase your chance of success if you have genuine talent, are charismatic and driven. 
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​Becoming a rock star is a crapshoot, a venture that has an unpredictable outcome. Yet the odds in the craps card game can mirror those for wannabe rock stars since there are different craps odds for different rolls of the dice. With 36 possible outcomes in craps from just two dice with the same six values, the number of opportunities is also surprisingly high for potential rock stars if you look for them.

Building a career
A rock star is someone who has already mastered their instrument or voice, having put in thousands of hours of practice to move from being an amateur to a pro. Building a music career is different from learning how to sing or play an instrument, you need to be on the look for opportunities to break into the big time. Create situations where you can meet producers, get feedback from a master songwriter, or get a deal with an indie label.

Leap of faith
You need to take risks to improve your odds of becoming a rock star.  So, if you happen to meet with a producer at an event, use this as an opportunity to take a step closer to your dream. Focus on building on every step of progress that you make, as fast as possible so that you maintain momentum towards success, actively making these steps happen. Always keep an open mind and assume nothing. You can start by co-writing a song with someone new and if a professional studio says they want to record with you, do not automatically assume they only offer because they want your money, they may offer their time for free.

Make the biggest impact you can
Instead of focusing on handing out flyers for local gigs, consider making a single bold move that will impress a producer enough to sign you up and take you to the next level. This will save you time and money and increase your chance of success if you get it right. If you are unsure what your next step ought to be, speak with experts in artist development in the industry.

Be flexible
Our futures are unknown and fate can lead us down many paths. In one path you could be a rock star, in another a mechanic. Consider Brian May, lead guitarist of the rock band Queen, who is not only an amazing musician but also has a PhD in astrophysics, on motions in the zodiacal dust cloud, from Imperial College London and has also worked with NASA as a science team collaborator on their New Horizons Pluto Mission. Nothing is pre-determined, and nothing is impossible and the world always needs new and excellent music.
 
All of these suggestions can increase the probability of meeting the right producer and working directly with them. 
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